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Mid Atlantic Regional Political round up election Bombshell edition 31 October, 2009

Posted by David Anderson in around the region, Election 2009/2010.
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New Jersey People in New Jersey are excited about the I-95 world series, but according to Rasmussen polling, 67% are even more engaged with the off year election. 3 candidates have a significant following.Third choice, Chris Daggett, has a 37% approval and 20% of the people considered voting for him. The good news Chris Christie is that the opposition is now starting to focus on getting rid of Corzine. Daggett’s numbers are now down to 8% and Christie has a small lead of 3 points which is right at the margin of error. It will come down to turnout. Christie has 7 point lead among those who are determined to vote and has even 28% of those who somewhat approve of President Obama while keeping a vast majority of the 45% who disapprove.

Corzine is in trouble because 60% of the state does not think that he deserves reelection and even after 30 million of ads he still has a 54% disapproval.

Virginia is looking like a GOP sweep,the state senate may even flip giving the GOP the entire government including all three statewide offices. Currently the GOP holds two (picking up the Lt. Gov when Kaine won–pay attention Delaware GOP) and the state house by a narrow margin. All I can say is if it does happen, do not sit on your lead. Do something with it. Solve a couple of problems and you will stay in power. It worked with the Congress. The GOP accomplished a great deal under Gingrich, Armey, Delay, and Kasich. Then they just sat there resting on their laurels after 3 of the 4 left. Success without a successor leads to failure. First let’s make it happen the only poll that matters is election day.

New York Besides the Yankees, the people of New York are paying attention to a couple of elections. NYC elections are next Tuesday. Bloomberg has passed Corzine to become the all time champion spender of personal funds in political races. It looks as if the Independent will win reelection to a third term. Republicans are poised to pick up a couple of seats in Queens.

Let’s get to the special election that is fascinating the nation. New York 23rd has a new Development with Dede Scozzafava suspending her campaign, according to the Watertown Daily Times. The Bombshell announcement reads in part.

“The opportunity to run as the Republican and Independence Party candidate to represent the 23rd District has been and remains one of the greatest honors of my life. During the past several months, as I’ve traveled the district, meeting and talking with voters about the issues that matter most to them, I’ve been overwhelmed by the amount of support I’ve received as I sought to serve as their voice in Washington. However, as Winston Churchill once said, Democracy can be a fickle employer, and the road to public office is not always a smooth one.

“In recent days, polls have indicated that my chances of winning this election are not as strong as we would like them to be. The reality that I’ve come to accept is that in today’s political arena, you must be able to back up your message with money—and as I’ve been outspent on both sides, I’ve been unable to effectively address many of the charges that have been made about my record. But as I’ve said from the start of this campaign, this election is not about me, it’s about the people of this district. And, as always, today I will do what I believe serves their interests best.

“It is increasingly clear that pressure is mounting on many of my supporters to shift their support. Consequently, I hereby release those individuals who have endorsed and supported my campaign to transfer their support as they see fit to do so. I am and have always been a proud Republican. It is my hope that with my actions today, my party will emerge stronger and our district and our nation can take an important step towards restoring the enduring strength and economic prosperity that has defined us for generations.

“On Election Day my name will appear on the ballot, but victory is unlikely. To those who support me – and to those who choose not to – I offer my sincerest thanks. Dede

3 days before the election it is anyone’s guess on how this will play. Will her hardcore supporters stay home or vote for the Democrat? How many of the people who were just supporting her because she had a Republican label will now go to Hoffman? The fact that she refused to endorse anyone leaves this race up in the air. If this happened 2 weeks ago, it would be a Hoffman victory. MSNBC just released a story and they claim it is good news for Hoffman. We shall see.

Delaware The First State is lining up for 2010 with my prediction that our appointed state treasurer would run coming to pass leaving Chip Flowers (Democratic operative) to rethink his plans. Senator Bonini has to spell “I am in it to stay” for the Delaware Grapevine. The GOP has solidifyied around him for Treasurer. Everyone is still awaiting AG Biden’s decision. Ferris Wharton is said to interested at a second shot at AG.

The state had none election related news. The Army Corps of Engineers is considering defying the state and deepening the Delaware River without a Delaware permit. The state will be the site of a new hybrid line which will take over the old Boxwood GM plant. Governor Markell is excited about his first green jobs victory.

Maryland O’Malley is boring, please get a new governor. He lost his bid to drive out investment when the Public Service Commission decided that it has no business setting CEO pay for utilities which cleared the way for a French company to invest 4.5 billion dollars in Maryland utilities. As usual the Eastern Shore gets shorted. This time with H1N1 vaccines.

Pennsylvania Philadephia is having its elections this year. My bold prediction is that Democrats will win as expected except for the City’s distirct attorney where Republicans are making a big push. Whether it will be strong enough remains to be seen.

In Delaware County, Democrats are pushing to crackthe GOP stronghold. President Obama carried the county, but Republicans still dominate 41 of 49 townships and the county offices. Since these towns and the county still works on the patronage system, who wins could have statewide implications. This is a swing area. If Republicans lose it, Democrats will be able to hire people to keep it and get out votes up and down the ballot. Conceivablely a Presidential election could be decided in that one county just like the 1976 election was decided in Ohio or 2000 was in Florida.

There is an effort to change the 12 year old charter school law. We shall be watching it.

Table games are still in negotiation. Governor Rendell is getting impatient.

A few ideas to save money 23 October, 2009

Posted by David Anderson in Budget.
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It is about time someone offered suggestions to save taxpayer money. I do not agree with all of them, but I find the Caesar Rodney Institute a breath of fresh air. The CRI is dedicated to a better run government.

Mid Alantic Region just two weeks out from off year election 22 October, 2009

Posted by David Anderson in around the region, Election 2009/2010.
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Democrats lose big vote on Stabenow bill to eliminate the fake Medicare cuts because it was not paid for. Over a dozen Democrats joined Republicans to defeat the measure 47 to 53. In the mid-Atlantic, only our Virgina Senators cared about paying for the proposal. Our moderate Carper, Gilibrand, Casey, and Specter favored adding a quarter trillion to the national debt.

New Jersey Gov. John Corzine can not even release his charitable contributions without taking an unrelated jab at Mr. Chris Christie. So far this year, the Governor’s foundation has generously given $191,770. I applaud his generosity. The Governor has spent $15,600,000 of his own money so far on the campaign. In the last campaign he spent slightly more nearly $19,000,000, but in the last 20 days he doubled that to $40,000,000. He is expected to at least double his spending so far this time as well. A hundred million in campaigns so far for Governor and Senate and hundreds of thousands in donations. There is nothing wrong with it, but maybe that is why the governor drew attention from truly generous giving by attacking his opponent so no one would make any comparisons.

Christie is still leading most of the polls, but the Independent candidate, Daggett is drawing a lot of voters. His support is firming and he may well get 10%. If he gets above 20% then Christie is in a lot of trouble. Christie’s advisers convinced him to be vague and avoid a specific plan so Corzine couldn’t attack it. The local republican activists pleaded with him to announce a plan and take the game home. Instead, Daggett came out with one and jumped mightily in the polls. So much for consultants leading the way. Fortunately, Corzine’s negatives are so high that he will still lose.

New York Fred Thompson, Jerri Thompson, Shawn Hannity, Rush Limbaugh, and now Sarah Palin are all backing the Conservative candidate in New York’s 23 district over the Republican liberal Scozzafava, who favors card check, the stimulus, government health care, abortion, gay marriage, more government spending, and tax hikes. She has gained the endorsement of the unions but is sinking in the polls as the electorate in the Republican district learned of her positions. I agree with the Washington Times which called for her to stand down based upon her aids calling the police on a reporter for asking tough questions, but she doesn’t care about the party. The Republican party did not hold a primary but the 11 county affected by the district choose her as a compromise on the third ballot. The Choice has split the House GOP leadership and the party both locally and nationally.

Governor Patterson is now Governor Panderson. He is pushing gay marriage declared a state disaster emergency after the state finally closed a dilapidated bridge so that contract rules can be waived, and reversed the mandatory vaccination of health care workers for the H1N1. He has also made a deal to put off dealing with New York’s deficit in a special session.

Lobbyists seem to have been slapped with fines for giving over the limits. Democrat Senator girl friend slasher Monsserrate is facing calls from colleagues for his resignation, but they won’t push him out so far.

Maryland even the Maryland bloggers have said not much is going on. My skipping of Maryland last week was not due to any disrespect for our Marylanders. This week we have opposition to a wind farm in western Maryland and the governor asking his school superintendents to start being frugal. The unions say just tap into the rainy day fund.

Slots in Maryland have run into more problems due to the bureaucratic zoning boards. The bad news for Delaware is that a slots parlor for Cecil County finally has its license.

Virginia Democrats are starting to explain why Deeds will lose. That is never a good position to be in. Republican McDonnell is now up to a 19 point lead and is beginning to bring the entire ticket along on his coattails. Virgina may see all three offices and both houses go Republican. Right now only the house and Attorney General McDonnell’s seat are Republican. Democrat Shannon is desperately trying to play the race card in the AG race.

Delaware John Carney thought he would be making news due to his fundraising for the congressional seat, but his fundraising for his business made more news here. The story was picked up by local talk radio both north and south. The papers may get it eventually.

Governor Markell is America’s most underrated governor according to a survey found by those other guys.

Pennsylvania Racial politics has emerged in the Philadelphia district attorney’s race. Some people were offended by the defense of the Democrat DA’s office death penalty prosecutions by the Republican candidate in a debate two weeks ago. He must be racially insensitive they discovered two weeks prior to the election. In the typical brawl they call politics in Philly, the candidate showed up to the press conference alled by State Sen. Anthony Williams, NAACP president J. Whyatt Mondesire, and the Rev. Audrey Brunson, president of Black Clergy of Philadelphia and Vicinity. He challenged them to blame the people who were in charge of the office (all Democrats including the candidate they were backing) if they believed this were true.

Table games still under negotiation.

One local newspaper reports on who’s who in a local corruption scandal. it is a long list.

President Obama 7 broken promises 20 October, 2009

Posted by David Anderson in Uncategorized.
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Lt. Governor Carney touchy about Minner in run for Congress 20 October, 2009

Posted by David Anderson in Uncategorized.
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Why is it that high minded campaigning is attacking Republican records, but it is a personal smear to recount a Democrat’s record? I like John Carney personally, but I choke on nonsense like this. I understand that defending his record may be tough, but stooping to silly responses will only make people think about it. Mr. Carney needs to talk about the future or else he will be the past. He either needs to explain that he learned from the past or defend it. He can not run away from it. Just out of curiosity, what has Lt. Governor Carney done in the last 9 years besides help Governor Minner run the state?

Even without a Republican in the field, the National Republican Congressional Committee is going after Carney. An e-mail described his record as “consisting solely of helping Gov. Minner do her best to run Delaware into the ground.”

Carney knew what he had to do after he was slammed. Like any good politician, he figured he could use it to raise money. An e-mail of his own went out.

“The National Republican Party has already started launching personal negative attacks against me,” Carney tut-tutted.

Random Articles of Interest 15 October, 2009

Posted by David Anderson in Uncategorized.
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You have to read Howard Rich’s article on the middle class betrayal.

Nancy Wagner is dropping out of the 31st district Rep race.

It looks as if President Obama was the last man standing in a split opinion by the Nobel Jury. It appears the majority of the committee thought he wasn’t ready yet. Sorry DNC, do you have an attack ad on them too?

The movement to fire Kevin Jennings, the school safety czar for only gay students, is gaining steam.

Indian River Power Plant may clean up its act. The state is through dragging its feet and will give them the permits.

Delaware Right to Life will have its annual banquet. Tell them I sent you.

Oct 17 – Fall Festival at Holy Cross in Dover from 10 am to 4 pm Come and join us for a day of fun, games, great food, auction and much more.

Sussex Coastal Weekly is out.

Speaking of middle class betrayal, does anyone believe that this classic post by Jim Hightower was wrong?

Delaware and NJ heat up the Mid-Atlantic 11 October, 2009

Posted by stoptaxing in Uncategorized.
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Delaware The first state actually garnered the most attention with the entrance of Congressman Castle into the open senate race to replace VP Biden and Senator Carper being on national programs to defend his statement that the health bill is incomprehensible so why bother reading it. We also had mortgage foreclosure aid –Peterson and Military Spouse Appreciation Day–Scott signed into law.

The Castle candidacy changes the dynamic of state. Because he did not make a deal of the candidate already in the race, Ms. O’Donnell, he has upset the truce between the party right and center and launched an ideological primary. He opens up a Congressional seat in which there will be a primary on the Democratic side which is favored to be won by former Lt. Governor John Carney. On the Republican side there will likely be one unless the Convention can once again be the arbiter. For this to work people have to stop treating people who accept the convention’s judgment as if they lost a race. They choose not to run for party unity. That should be praised not panned. I am hearing various names. State Auditor Tom Wagner is the favorite among delegates with whom I spoke, but none thought he would run. I think he would be the best candidate. Some think Mike Protack will run, but rumor has it that he is mulling county council. The name that hear is favored by party insiders according to the rumor mill not official sources, is former state Senator Charlie Copeland. Current state senator Colin Bonini is running for state treasurer. If State auditor Tom Wagner stays put, he will be favored. Rumor has it that Ferris Wharton is mauling another run for Attorney General if AG Biden runs for Senate. If so, this would be a powerful team. There would be the potential of 5 for 5 (with either senate candidate) though I think running Wagner for House and Copeland for auditor would be more likely to reap those results. The GOP currently has only 2 of 9 statewide offices.

New Jersey The Governor’s race tightens but the underlying numbers are strongly in Christie’s favor. Governor Corzine does not poll over 44% and has a 61% does not deserve reelection number. Christie has a solid 47%. The undecideds have already decided against Corzine and will either not vote or come home for Christie. A few percentage may go for Daggett. No matter the scenario I do not see the smear campaign succeeding. The negatives for the party are being driven so high that Democrats may see themselves lose the state assembly. Though they lead in fundraising for the assembly, they do not have the advantage of 4 years ago.

New York The New York Times took on Nancy Pelosi and Charlie Rangel calling them hypocritical for campaigning against a culture of corruption and not dealing with their own when they have problems. They just noticed?

Democrat State Senator Hiram Monserrate is now facing the jury in his trial for cutting the face of his girl friend in a jealous rage. Republicans may end up with the senate back if all of the Democrats under investigation or indictment lose it by next year. They need only one seat.

Governor Patterson is fighting for budget cuts. Legislative Leaders are too busy in China to worry about his deadlines though.

Pennsylvania
Table games are closer to reality. The state senate is forging a compromise between the gaming industry and the Democrats in the state house. The state has gone 100 days without a budget. One paper had a comprehensive take on it with 100 reasons we have been without a budget for 100 days.

Republicans have another top tier candidate for 2010 challenging for Congress.

Senator Specter fights for the release of 3 Americans held in Iran.

Republican Tom Corbett is leading all challengers right now in the race for Governor.

Maryland Maryland has finally exploded in unemployment despite stimulus cash. Some people are literally moving to get ready for 2010. Republicans are lining up to see who is running for Governor. Delegate O’Donnell tires of waiting and is in.

Virginia McDonnell increases his lead to 9 points in all polls. He even leads in Northern Virginia. The race won’t be the only issue getting voters in Fairfax County out. The Petition signatures to create a special rail/metro tax district have been confirmed.

Economy better than He dreamed–really 11 October, 2009

Posted by stoptaxing in Economic Policy, Jobs.
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Vice President Biden must have scaled back his dreams. He says the economic stimulus package worked beyond his wildest dreams. I guess the 15 million Americans without work have bigger dreams like paying the bills and keeping a roof over their head. The VP does not need to worry. He has a 4 year contract that we hope not to renew.

Our Senator Making Us Proud–Not quite 11 October, 2009

Posted by stoptaxing in Healthcare.
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Update Senator Carper to be on Fox News Channel’s Neil Cavuto at 4 P.M Today (Oct. 8 2009) to discuss these comments. Keep up the contacts to his office.

It is great that we have a Senator who is not capable of understanding legislation. At least he smiles and shakes hands well. Maybe that is why he has not introduced much despite all of the problems we face. I think that we should have at least one person in the Senate for Delaware who has a history of understanding issues. We actually have a candidate who served in a think tank. Back to the video.

What interested me is that he said he would probably read the plain English version. He wouldn’t even promise that he would read it. Maybe that was a slip of the tongue–I hope. Who needs to read a bill that would transform the lives of every American anyway. The staff said it is okay. Is that not why you elected the staff? I want to thank Tennessee for bringing the issue to our attention. A reader submitted the actual video link for all to see.

Republican resurgence in Mid-Atlantic 2 October, 2009

Posted by David Anderson in Uncategorized.
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Virginia McDonnell surges to a new lead in the polls going over 50% with a solid lead among independents. DNC chairman and part time governor Kaine is still on the road.

New Jersey Jersey City and other towns have passed pay to play bans in a great statement against corruption even those currently under indictment favored the bill. And Democrats wonder why they are losing.

New York Both Republicans and Democrats held their annual conventions this past week. The Republicans have a new leader, Mr. Cox, which was a minor defeat for the Giuliani hardliners. The two parties are geering up for next year’s election. People are starting to position themselves for an anticipated Democrat primary between Attorney General Andrew Cuomo and Governor David Patterson.

The Club for Growth is the war path against big spending Democrats and Republicans.

Maryland The State is knocking around drivers for more money. Speed Cameras and and a Texting while driving ban are the news along with new restrictions on teens.

Maryland insists on impoverishing some of its citizens with a mandatory 25% cut in “Greenhouse emissions” by 2020. The bill at least makes more sense than the overall energy cut demanded by Markell. At least other ways of finding energy will be entertained whether or not the goal is realistic. Where is the Maryland GOP when you need a loyal opposition? Speed cameras and energy rationing seem like winning issues even for such a moribund organization.

Pennsylvania is no longer Obama friendly territory. Not only is Gov. Rendell in trouble but the President’s numbers have sunk to a new low. Senator Specter may have picked the wrong couple to help him.

The budget deal that was struck still hasn’t passed due to rebellious Democrats who hate oil drilling and want the people to suffer with higher taxes and energy prices.

Delaware H1N1 is running through the state, including my home just like Maryland, but most cases are never tested for and therefore are unreported. You have to ask for testing like we did. What is the agenda? I am finding a lot of cases of something like it but most were never tested even though they went to the doctor. Is there a wink not to report the disease? What is the public health effect? Why does it take a week or longer to get results? No significant upgrades in testing have occurred since last year. Is the state failing the public?

U. S. Senate Candidate Christine O’Donnell is up there with the big boys pulling 40% in the latest poll. Is it time for HuckPac and Sarah Pac to pay attention?