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The Election 4 November, 2009

Posted by David Anderson in Uncategorized.
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Corzine concedes and promises smooth transition.
AP Calls it for Christie 81% and 5 point lead.
UPDATE: Christie lead 6% and 100K with 68% of the vote in.
Early lead for Christie, Christie still leads in fact he is increasing his lead back to 5% with 44% out. I like the counties still out. Christie is surprisingly strong in Camden County and Somerset. Christie is winning big in Republican areas by double to triple the vote margins of Forester last governor’s race. He is losing Democrat areas in Middlesex and Woodbridge where no Republican tends to win in a dozen years. GOP is winning Democrat House seats and losing none of its own. Still he has Newark and Jersey City to withstand.
Updated: 1 down–McDonnell wins big. VA McDonnell leads early–exit polls confirm Republican trend. President Obama factor in votes of 2 out of every 5 voters.

Traditional Marriage is winning in Maine has a 5% or 25K vote plurality with 84% reporting in a heavy turnout (52%). Medical Pot is winning big. Civil Unions are narrowly winning in WA with a lot of Seattle out where it is strong and a lot of Eastern Washington out where it is weak.

Hoffman may not have the organization to pull the race out. Had to fight absentee vote already cast. It is an incredible showing for a third party candidate ganged up on by both of the other candidates. He may win still but he is behind by almost 3 points. Fox just projected Owens to win.

Definitely a change election, again. PA statewide offices go GOP. Court elections have little money so they are a pure show of party strength. Delaware County was solidly Republican down to town offices and county council. In NYC, the GOP picked up two council seats in Queens, and the Conservative beat the Republican in Stanton Island’s 50th council.

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Pataki Boosts Hoffman 1 November, 2009

Posted by David Anderson in Uncategorized.
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The first Establishment NY Republican to break ranks and support Hoffman was Gov. Pataki last week at a Conservative Party fundraiser. That broke the back of the Commie Lib Republican Dede Scozzafava. Now he is campaigning with Hoffman.

Taxes Matter 1 November, 2009

Posted by David Anderson in Tax Hikes.
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TABOR is back and will be worth watching in two liberal leaning states. Maine and Washington are poised to pass Tax and Spending measures which limit spending growth to population plus inflation. Those will be as interesting and more of a national indicator than even the Governor’s races which have personalities and other issues involved.

NJ, Chris Christie will likely edge out a victory because of fiscal and economic troubles with the state and quite frankly concern that the Democrats will try to impose gay marriage. The reason that Christie may keep Daggett at bay is the marriage issue. Christie would have this race in a runaway except that he refused to discuss specifics about his tax plan. When Daggett came out with a real plan no matter how imperfect, it sent his numbers soaring. Why? Taxes matter.

In Virginia, Craig Deeds killed his campaign this summer when his transportation plan opened him up to tax increase charges. McDonnell has a consistent record of being a full spectrum conservative. The choice was clear.

I think the victory one Tuesday will be a Tea Party victory. It will be one for the restraint of government. Democrats will ignore it at their peril. Republicans must embrace it or the Hoffman and Daggett phenomena will be their peril.